Betcast/World Cup Tracker

World Cup 2026 Betting Podcast Semifinal Tracker

Betting podcasts enter the semifinals at 30-20-3 across 50 win/loss decisions. Moneylines led the board, while two shows cleared a 68% win rate with at least 10 decisions.

Correction, July 16, 2026: An earlier version of this report counted some episode-level picks more than once when they appeared on separate generated cards under different event identifiers. The report has been recalculated using one pick per podcast, source episode, matchup, market, side, and line. The overall record changed from 39-26-6 across 65 decisions to 30-20-3 across 50 decisions. The overall win rate remains 60.0%. Individual show, market, and weekly figures have also been updated.

Snapshot: This report covers settled World Cup picks created from Jun 11, 2026 through Jul 12, 2026. It includes only picks traced to a specific source episode and does not include semifinal picks or results.

Decisions

Record

30-20-3

53 picks including pushes

Win rate

60.0%

Wins divided by wins plus losses

Podcasts

19 tracked cards

The semifinal stage

The report freezes the board before the final four. These matches are context for what comes next, not part of the records below.

France vs. Spain

Tuesday, July 14 · Dallas Stadium

Official FIFA match preview →

England vs. Argentina

Wednesday, July 15 · Atlanta Stadium

Official FIFA match preview →

Top World Cup podcast records

Report-window records for shows with at least 10 win/loss decisions, sorted by win rate.

Podcast	Record	Decisions	Win rate	Readout
Soccer Betting Podcast	7-3-2	10	70.0%	Led the qualifying table; 3-1 on moneylines.
The Early Edge	9-4-1	13	69.2%	Largest winning sample; 4-1 on moneylines.
Sports Gambling Podcast Network	8-9-0	17	47.1%	4-3 on moneylines; spreads finished 2-5.

Smaller samples

Useful context, but each show remains below the 10-decision qualifying line used above.

Just Win Bets Baby

4-2-0

6 decisions · 66.7%

WagerTalk

1-0-0

1 decisions · 100.0%

Puntzer: World Cup 2026

1-2-0

3 decisions · 33.3%

Market breakdown

Moneylines supplied the strongest combination of volume and results.

Moneylines

15-8-0 · 23 decisions

65.2%

Strongest market with meaningful volume.

Game totals

7-4-1 · 11 decisions

63.6%

Positive, but on a smaller sample.

Spreads

7-8-2 · 15 decisions

46.7%

Slightly negative through the quarterfinal window.

Win to nil

1-0-0 · 1 decisions

100.0%

One decision only; not a trend.

Confidence signal

Medium-confidence picks led, but the high and low buckets were much smaller.

Medium

20-9-3 · 29 decisions

69.0%

Largest labeled confidence bucket.

Unlabeled

7-3-0 · 10 decisions

70.0%

No confidence metadata was attached.

Low

2-5-0 · 7 decisions

28.6%

Small and clearly below the larger buckets.

High

1-3-0 · 4 decisions

25.0%

Only four decisions; too thin for a conclusion.

Weekly movement

The strongest week was Jun 22. Results remained positive through the final two completed report weeks, but at lower win rates.

Jun 15

5-5-0 · 10 decisions

50.0%

Jun 22

8-2-1 · 10 decisions

80.0%

Jun 29

10-8-2 · 18 decisions

55.6%

Jul 6

7-5-0 · 12 decisions

58.3%

Methodology: This frozen report includes only settled World Cup picks traced to a specific source episode. A podcast pick appearing on multiple generated cards is counted once for that show. Win rate equals wins divided by wins plus losses; pushes are excluded from the denominator. Records cover Jun 11, 2026 through Jul 12, 2026 and do not update after publication.

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