Betcast/UFC Report

UFC Betting Podcast Report: July 1-26, 2026

Across 195 settled win/loss decisions from 28 podcasts, the July UFC board finished 114-81-7. Moneyline picks supplied the clearest edge at 61.5%.

Frozen July snapshot: This report uses settled UFC picks from Jul 1, 2026 through Jul 26, 2026. Every public record is traced to a source episode. Records do not update after publication.

Decisions

195

202 picks including pushes

Record

114-81-7

Win rate

58.5%

52.4% is -110 breakeven

Podcasts

28

Leading July podcast records

Sorted by win rate among shows with at least 10 UFC decisions in the report window.

We Want Picks

7-3-2 · 10 decisions70.0%

Highest win rate among shows with at least 10 decisions.

Sports Gambling Podcast Network

11-5-1 · 16 decisions68.8%

Largest winning sample in the qualifying group.

Mic'd Up and Misinformed

7-4-0 · 11 decisions63.6%

All 11 decisions came from moneyline picks.

The MMA Mathletes Podcast

8-5-1 · 13 decisions61.5%

Six moneyline wins carried a balanced market sample.

BigJive MMA Show

6-4-0 · 10 decisions60.0%

Cleared the qualifying line with a positive record.

MMA Gambling Podcast

7-5-0 · 12 decisions58.3%

Finished above the -110 breakeven benchmark.

Smaller samples worth watching

Positive records below the 10-decision qualifying line.

MMA Breakdowns and Bets

4-1-0

5 decisions · 80.0%

Just Win Bets Baby

6-2-0

8 decisions · 75.0%

Half The Battle

5-2-0

7 decisions · 71.4%

Market breakdown

Moneylines carried the most volume and the strongest qualifying result.

Moneylines

75-47-3 · 122 decisions

61.5%

The clearest combination of volume and results.

Method, round, and other markets

28-22-4 · 50 decisions

56.0%

Positive, but spread across several specialized markets.

Fight totals

8-9-0 · 17 decisions

47.1%

Below breakeven in a smaller sample.

Spreads

1-3-0 · 4 decisions

25.0%

Too thin for a broad conclusion.

Parlays

2-0-0 · 2 decisions

100.0%

Displayed for completeness; not a qualifying sample.

Confidence signal

High-confidence picks led, but the medium bucket carried most of the sample.

High

12-4-1 · 16 decisions

75.0%

Best rate, but only 16 decisions.

Medium

83-56-5 · 139 decisions

59.7%

The largest and most stable confidence bucket.

Low

19-21-1 · 40 decisions

47.5%

Finished below the -110 breakeven benchmark.

Abu Dhabi recap

Moneylines led the final July card

Across 15 episodes explicitly covering UFC Abu Dhabi or Ankalaev-Guskov, Betcast recorded 71 settled picks. The subset finished 37-28-6, with moneylines again producing the strongest high-volume result.

Abu Dhabi

56.9%

65 decisions

Moneylines

67.6%

23-11-3 · 34 decisions

Settlement trend

Results entered the frozen report in two settlement windows. The event-date audit found no matched fights outside July.

Week of Jul 13

70-50-0 · 120 decisions

Week of Jul 20

44-31-7 · 75 decisions

Methodology: This frozen report includes only settled UFC picks traced to a specific source episode. Repeated copies of the same podcast pick are counted once. Decisions equal wins plus losses; pushes remain visible but do not enter win-rate calculations. The report window uses settlement timestamps from July 1 through July 26, 2026. An event-date audit found 200 dated picks tied to July fights and two picks without matched event timestamps. Those two remain in the overall source-traced record, but are not used in the date-specific Abu Dhabi recap.

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