Betcast/MLB Tracker

MLB Betting Podcast Picks Report: All-Star Week Checkpoint

Ahead of All-Star Week, Betcast tracked 243 MLB decisions from 12 betting podcasts. The board finished 131-112-3. Player props carried the strongest edge.

Checkpoint note: This is an All-Star Week timing report, not a full-season MLB report. The tracking window starts with the first MLB attribution Betcast has on Mar 25, 2026 and runs through Jul 5, 2026. Games and picks from July 6-9 are not included.

Decisions

243

Record

131-112-3

Win rate

53.9%

52.4% is -110 breakeven

Podcasts

55 cards

Best MLB podcast records so far this season

Mar 25, 2026 through Jul 5, 2026, sorted by win rate among shows with at least 10 MLB win/loss decisions.

Podcast	Record	Decisions	Win rate	Note
OddsShopper	9-3-0	12	75.0%	Best MLB win rate among shows with at least 10 decisions.
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast	8-4-0	12	66.7%	Strongest moneyline record in the tracker at 7-3.
WagerTalk: Sports Betting Tips	10-6-1	16	62.5%	Best weekly burst was 4-1-1 during the Jun 22 window.
The Early Edge: A Daily Sports Betting Podcast	45-35-0	80	56.3%	Most volume in the sample and still above breakeven.
The Just Baseball Show	7-6-0	13	53.8%	Small edge in a baseball-specific sample.

Market breakdown

Player props were the clearest edge. Spreads and team totals were the drag.

Player props

54-38-0 · 92 decisions

58.7%

strongest category

Moneylines

42-38-2 · 80 decisions

52.5%

near breakeven

Game totals

19-15-0 · 34 decisions

55.9%

solid but smaller

Spreads

9-12-1 · 21 decisions

42.9%

below breakeven

Team totals

7-9-0 · 16 decisions

43.8%

thin and cold

Confidence signal

Confidence metadata is present on part of the sample. Medium confidence picks performed best; the high-confidence bucket was smaller and colder.

Medium

54-42-1 · 96 decisions

56.3%

best bucket

Low

14-13-1 · 27 decisions

51.9%

just below breakeven

High

5-7-1 · 12 decisions

41.7%

small sample

Category callouts

Props Leader

OddsShopper

9-3 on MLB player props

75.0% across 12 decisions.

Moneyline Leader

Play Me or Fade Me

7-3 on MLB moneylines

Best moneyline record among qualifying shows.

Volume Leader

The Early Edge

80 MLB decisions

45-35 overall while carrying the largest workload.

Best Single Week

The Early Edge

7-1 the week of Mar 23

The cleanest high-volume weekly run in the tracker.

Weekly movement

MLB has been noisy week to week. The strongest volume week was Jun 22 at 35-22-2, while the small Jun 29 window cooled off.

Mar 23

14-7-0 · 21 decisions

66.7%

Mar 30

14-14-0 · 28 decisions

50.0%

Apr 6

21-12-0 · 33 decisions

63.6%

Apr 13

6-6-0 · 12 decisions

50.0%

Apr 27

1-2-0 · 3 decisions

33.3%

May 4

3-5-0 · 8 decisions

37.5%

May 11

5-2-0 · 7 decisions

71.4%

May 18

3-3-0 · 6 decisions

50.0%

Jun 8

2-3-0 · 5 decisions

40.0%

Jun 15

23-27-1 · 50 decisions

46.0%

Jun 22

35-22-2 · 57 decisions

61.4%

Jun 29

4-7-0 · 11 decisions

36.4%

Methodology: Picks are AI-extracted from podcast transcripts via Betcast. Each bet is attributed to its source podcast, matched to a real game event, and settled against final scores. This report covers MLB attribution records created from Mar 25, 2026 through Jul 5, 2026. Repeated copies of the same podcast pick are counted once per podcast using the same counting rules as the podcast profiles and leaderboard. Win rate = wins / (wins + losses), pushes excluded. Breakeven reference is 52.4% for standard -110 odds.

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