September's ten most-supported eligible picks went 4–6

Across 4,266 identity-eligible selections, the ten most-supported picks were all NFL spreads. Tarp Sports led the sample-adjusted podcast board in the wider September record.

Picks settled September 1–30, including events played earlier

Coverage matters: all 17 supported sports were evaluated. Incomplete exact identities and source links are excluded from pick-support ranking; the broader scoreboard keeps their settled records.

September at a glance

  • 11,326 decisions, 48.5% wins. The full record was 5,489-5,837-124 across 285 canonical podcast profiles and 1,928 distinct source episodes. Pushes remain in the record and leave the rate denominator. Two losing cross-sport parlays are counted once each, without assigning their legs to one sport.
  • Football supplied 73.7% of decisions. NFL and college football contributed 8,347; NFL settled at 47.7% and college football at 50.1%. Other sports remain in the full scoreboard.
  • Tarp Sports led the sample-adjusted podcast board. Its 39-19-3 record includes 58 decisions. 4th & 32 and OddsShopper complete the top three under the same sample-adjusted ranking.

These are descriptive tracked records. Prices differ, selections are correlated, and win rate does not establish profit or a future betting edge.

Most-supported exact picks and outcomes

The ten most-supported picks among 4,266 identity-eligible exact selections finished 4 wins and 6 losses. All ten happened to be NFL spreads. Support determines ordering before the outcome is inspected.

All 17 catalog sports were evaluated, including eligible props, team totals, partial-game markets, soccer conditions, UFC markets and complete parlays. Of 12,662 source mentions, 3,757 could not be grouped safely and were excluded. This ranks the eligible subset, not every stored mention.

  1. 1.Houston Texans -2.5

    Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 20

    37 podcast profiles

    Loss

    Cincinnati Bengals 20, Houston Texans 6

    View 42 episode receipts and podcast sources
  2. 2.Cincinnati Bengals -3.5

    Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 27

    31 podcast profiles

    Loss

    Cincinnati Bengals 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 30

    View 36 episode receipts and podcast sources
  3. 3.Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5

    New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 27

    29 podcast profiles

    Win

    New England Patriots 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 35

    View 34 episode receipts and podcast sources
  4. 4.Denver Broncos -2.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 20

    29 podcast profiles

    Win

    Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Denver Broncos 20

    View 31 episode receipts and podcast sources
  5. 5.Lions -6.5

    New York Jets at Detroit Lions

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 27

    28 podcast profiles

    Win

    New York Jets 24, Detroit Lions 31

    View 32 episode receipts and podcast sources
  6. 6.New Orleans Saints -3

    Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 27

    26 podcast profiles

    Loss

    Las Vegas Raiders 35, New Orleans Saints 27

    View 34 episode receipts and podcast sources
  7. 7.Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8.5

    Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 20

    25 podcast profiles

    Loss

    Cleveland Browns 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19

    View 33 episode receipts and podcast sources
  8. 8.Carolina Panthers -2.5

    Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 27

    25 podcast profiles

    Loss

    Carolina Panthers 18, Cleveland Browns 21

    View 27 episode receipts and podcast sources
  9. 9.Philadelphia Eagles -7

    Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 20

    24 podcast profiles

    Loss

    Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20

    View 27 episode receipts and podcast sources
  10. 10.New York Jets +3.5

    Green Bay Packers at New York Jets

    NFL · full-game spread · Sep 20

    23 podcast profiles

    Win

    Green Bay Packers 20, New York Jets 17

    View 26 episode receipts and podcast sources

Bars show distinct canonical podcast support, scaled to 37 profiles. One podcast gets one vote per exact event, market, period, participant, side, line, stat and complete composite legs. Repeat mentions add receipts, not votes. The ten have 277 show-selection records, 96 distinct profiles and 188 distinct episodes; those are different units from ten outcomes.

Exact-pick coverage and exclusions

From 12,662 source mentions, 8,378 distinct show-selection votes were eligible, 3,757 were excluded and 527 repeated mentions were removed. They formed 4,266 exact groups. All returned groups had their canonical support and episode counts checked. No conflicting outcome or score group remained; each displayed top-ten outcome was independently recomputed from its exact line and final score.

Podcast standouts

The ranking gives less weight to high win rates from small samples. Each show needs a winning record and at least 10 decisions. Tarp Sports ranks ahead of OddsShopper despite a lower raw win rate because its sample is larger.

1.Tarp Sports

39-19-3W-L-P

67.2% wins · 58 decisions

11 source episodes · 3 sports

2.4th & 32

27-14W-L

65.9% wins · 41 decisions

5 source episodes · 3 sports

3.OddsShopper

18-8W-L

69.2% wins · 26 decisions

5 source episodes · 2 sports

All three remain small samples, especially OddsShopper's 26 decisions. This historical ordering does not establish skill, consistent returns or a forecast.

Participation leaders: a separate measure

Participation orders by tracked decisions, independently of performance. Sports Gambling Podcast Network supplied the largest sample at 1,081 decisions.

Sports and markets

These breakdowns retain the complete verified September record, including rows excluded from exact-pick grouping. They are sorted by decision count.

Bars show decision volume. The separate win-rate column shows raw historical wins divided by decisions for every nonempty row. Small samples are less stable. Prices and market types differ; rates do not measure returns.

By sport

14 of 17 checked sports had settlements. Bars scale to NFL's 4,468 decisions. Two cross-sport parlay decisions sit outside these sport bars; the sport partitions sum to 11,324.

  • NFL

    184 podcast profiles

    2131-2337-43 W-L-P

    Decision volume 4,468

    Historical win rate

    47.7%

  • NCAA football

    119 podcast profiles

    1943-1936-38 W-L-P

    Decision volume 3,879

    Historical win rate

    50.1%

  • MLB

    36 podcast profiles

    934-972-27 W-L-P

    Decision volume 1,906

    Historical win rate

    49.0%

  • UFC

    21 podcast profiles

    200-198-13 W-L-P

    Decision volume 398

    Historical win rate

    50.3%

  • WNBA

    9 podcast profiles

    86-123 W-L

    Decision volume 209

    Historical win rate

    41.1%

  • EPL

    19 podcast profiles

    57-107-2 W-L-P

    Decision volume 164

    Historical win rate

    34.8%

  • CFL

    10 podcast profiles

    74-69 W-L

    Decision volume 143

    Historical win rate

    51.7%

  • MLS

    6 podcast profiles

    19-42 W-L

    Decision volume 61

    Historical win rate

    31.1%

  • NHL

    7 podcast profiles

    23-20 W-L

    Decision volume 43

    Historical win rate

    53.5%

  • Serie A

    8 podcast profiles

    11-6-1 W-L-P

    Decision volume 17

    Historical win rate

    64.7%

    Small sample

  • Golf

    2 podcast profiles

    1-12 W-L

    Decision volume 13

    Historical win rate

    7.7%

    Small sample

  • Bundesliga

    3 podcast profiles

    7-5 W-L

    Decision volume 12

    Historical win rate

    58.3%

    Small sample

  • La Liga

    5 podcast profiles

    3-7 W-L

    Decision volume 10

    Historical win rate

    30.0%

    Small sample

  • Ligue 1

    1 podcast profiles

    0-1 W-L

    Decision volume 1

    Historical win rate

    0.0%

    Small sample

By stored market

Every decision belongs to one stored market category; these sum to 11,326, including the two cross-sport parlay parents. Game totals differ from team totals and player props. Bars scale to the 5,194 spread decisions.

  • Spreads

    219 podcast profiles

    2612-2582-77 W-L-P

    Decision volume 5,194

    Historical win rate

    50.3%

  • Moneylines

    227 podcast profiles

    1244-1347-17 W-L-P

    Decision volume 2,591

    Historical win rate

    48.0%

  • Game totals

    169 podcast profiles

    983-919-23 W-L-P

    Decision volume 1,902

    Historical win rate

    51.7%

  • Player props

    82 podcast profiles

    428-521-4 W-L-P

    Decision volume 949

    Historical win rate

    45.1%

  • Parlays

    78 podcast profiles

    69-301 W-L

    Decision volume 370

    Historical win rate

    18.6%

  • Team totals

    46 podcast profiles

    103-91 W-L

    Decision volume 194

    Historical win rate

    53.1%

  • Other markets

    23 podcast profiles

    50-76-3 W-L-P

    Decision volume 126

    Historical win rate

    39.7%

“Other markets” is a stored classification covering 97 UFC decisions, 24 EPL decisions, 1 Serie A decision and 4 MLS decisions, plus 3 UFC pushes. Of its 129 settled records, 123 have an exact parsed type: 82 method-of-victory, 8 goes-distance, 5 any-finish, 14 moneyline, 10 both-teams-to-score and 4 win-to-nil records. Six remain unresolved, so this is a partial breakdown by type. These are records including pushes, rather than decision counts.

Methodology and source limits

Four picks were assigned to Serie A after checking their ESPN event IDs. Their recorded results are unchanged.

Only settled source-episode-backed picks appear. Canonical public Ledger ownership and performance deduplication match Betcast's public profile records. Membership is settlement time, September 1–30 Central; pending picks are excluded. Wins plus losses are decisions; pushes leave the win-rate denominator.

Podcast recognition adjusts for sample size using the established 95% Wilson method (z=1.96): high win rates from smaller samples receive less weight. The ranking requires a winning record and at least 10 decisions; ties use decisions, wins and stable profile identity. This comparison score is not an observed win rate or a prediction. Participation uses decision count. Exact-pick support orders by distinct canonical podcasts with stable identity ties.

Episodes can discuss several wagers, and profiles can share a network. These are not independent opinions or bets. Different lines and periods remain distinct selections. Source links may open a show page or audio file; no verbatim quotation is implied.

Exact grouping preserves provider, event, sport, market, period, participant, side, exact line, stat and every composite leg. Ambiguous identity excluded 3,494 mentions, unsupported markets 230, missing source links 29 and unknown periods four. After removing 527 repeated show mentions, 8,378 show-selection votes formed 4,266 eligible groups. These vote counts differ from the profile-record deduplication used for the overall scoreboard.

This frozen descriptive snapshot establishes no momentum, future edge or profit claim. Small samples, correlated picks, inconsistent prices and historical coverage limits remain relevant.

Inspect a show before drawing a conclusion

Compare the exact call, line and sample through podcast profiles and episode receipts. Further research can include a decision to pass.

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